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Trade war, news by Hebei Longsheng

U.S. trade policy is likely to become more rather than less complicated during the fourth quarter, with seven major issues to watch.

The passage of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement may be accelerated as a result of the impeachment process, but in the meantime the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico and Canada has been increasing and reached $118.6 billion in the 12 months to Jul. 31 from $69.3 billion in 2016 due to a rise in automotive and energy sector imports.

The U.S.-China trade war is moving beyond tariffs into the realm of investment controls and social-credit type assessment regimes. The next round of negotiations from Oct. 10 could be tripped up by tariff increases, and may result in a mini-deal focused on tariff reductions and purchasing commitments – a more indepth deal could be put off.

There’s already signs of stockpiling in products where tariffs are due to be applied from December with a 10.5% rise in imports of toys and 39.3% in textiles in August compared to a year earlier. 

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